Major Landlords, Leasing Strategy, and Future Outlook
The Retail Renaissance: An Empirical CRE Report
Part 2: Major Landlords, Leasing Strategy, and Future Outlook
Executive Summary: The Institutional Response
As retail fundamentals remain strong, attention turns to the institutional landlords and major REITs actively driving the strategic renaissance. These major players are rapidly evolving their business models, shifting from mere space providers to collaborative partners focused on integrating technology, designing flexible lease structures, and curating experiential tenant mixes to maximize asset value and long-term resilience.
Institutional Leaders in the Retail Renaissance
The adaptation of large institutional landlords and Retail REITs is critical to the sector’s success. These firms are making significant capital investments to reposition properties and adopt retailer-centric technologies to support omnichannel tenants. Below are major players and the strategies they are employing:
Key Retail REITs and Institutional Landlords
Simon Property Group & Brookfield Properties
Strategy: Digital Integration & High-Traffic Destination Curation
- These firms have aggressively partnered with financial technology services (e.g., Klarna, Afterpay) to enhance the digital customer journey and in-store conversion.
- They focus on attracting “Retailtainment” and high-capital experiential anchors that increase foot traffic and dwell time for the entire center.
- They leverage mass mobile data to refine shopper profiles and market specific center offerings.
Federal Realty Investment Trust & Kite Realty Group Trust
Strategy: Necessity-Driven, Open-Air Center Resilience
- Focus on necessity-driven retail (grocery-anchored) which has proven highly resilient to e-commerce threats.
- Actively adapting layouts to support BOPIS and curbside pickup, leveraging the center’s inherent convenience and accessibility.
- They benefit from limited new supply in the market, sustaining high occupancy and robust operational fundamentals.
PREIT (Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust)
Strategy: Active Asset Repositioning and Retailtainment
- Reported measurable traffic gains (up to +25% in visits) by integrating major entertainment concepts like Legoland Discovery Centers and Tilted 10.
- Actively converting former big-box anchor spaces into multi-tenant “experience hubs” and fitness centers, maximizing tenant diversity and foot traffic.
Empirical Evidence of Market Tightness
The positive outlook is largely attributed to sustained market tightness. Limited new construction and strong tenant absorption have pushed key operational metrics to favor landlords, supporting projected rent growth and investment confidence.
Retail Supply and Demand Metrics (Q2 2025)
4.4%
Retail Vacancy Rate
- Lowest rate among traditional property types (Nareit, Q2 2025)
0.2%
New Supply YTD (% of Stock)
- Historically low construction rate (CoStar, Q2 2025)
Evolving Leasing and Valuation Strategies
The structural shift in retail requires CRE owners to move beyond traditional fixed leases. Valuation is increasingly tied to a tenant’s ability to seamlessly integrate their digital and physical presence.
New Lease Structures
Leases are becoming more flexible and aligned with tenant performance:
- Percentage Rent Models: Increasingly common, this structure ties a portion of rent directly to a tenant’s in-store sales, financially aligning the landlord’s success with the tenant’s performance and growth.
- Shorter, Flexible Terms: Landlords are adopting more flexible models, recognizing that experiential and digitally native brands may require shorter terms to test new markets or concepts.
- Omnichannel Rent Clauses: Discussions are underway to incorporate metrics tied to a store’s contribution to local e-commerce sales into rent calculations, reflecting the physical store’s value as a customer acquisition tool.
Tenant Selection Prioritization
The priority has shifted away from traditional, purely transactional anchors:
- Experiential Brands: Tenants must offer unique experiences (e.g., fitness, entertainment, food halls) that cannot be replicated online, maximizing foot traffic potential.
- Digitally Native Brands (DNBs): Landlords actively seek DNBs (like Warby Parker or Allbirds) as they utilize physical space to lower customer acquisition costs and drive higher regional online sales.
- Omnichannel Capability: Prioritization is given to tenants with proven, resilient supply chains that seamlessly handle BOPIS, returns, and real-time inventory synchronization.
Future Outlook and Key Risks (2025-2026)
The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, supported by a persistent supply deficit and robust tenant demand. However, vigilance is required to navigate macro-economic and internal operational challenges.
Optimistic Drivers
- Supply Deficit: Limited new construction continues to support higher rents and falling vacancies.
- Robust Tenant Demand: Both expanding necessity retailers and digitally native brands are competing for prime, flexible physical space.
- Repositioning Success: Successful conversions of older assets into profitable experience and fulfillment hubs will drive long-term asset value.
Key Risks & Headwinds
- Consumer Spending Pull-back: Rising interest rates and consumer debt may reduce discretionary spending on non-essential experiences and high-end retail.
- Technological Lag: Landlords and retailers failing to invest in integrated data platforms and omnichannel technology will quickly lose competitiveness.
- Experience Oversaturation: The market risk of “sameness” is high; long-term success requires truly unique, authentic, and irreplaceable physical experiences.
